News that moved our outlook

October 1, 2026 · the real estate sector

Treasury yields at their highest since 2002

With Treasury yields at their highest since 2002, landlords whose long, fixed-rent leases behave like bonds, such as Realty Income, lose ground to landlords whose rents reset more quickly, such as Prologis.

What changed

We raised our expected return for Prologis, and lowered it for Realty Income.

SymbolWithout itWith itChange
PrologisPLD7.27%7.86%+0.59pp
Realty IncomeO6.12%6.00%−0.12pp

Each stock as it stands now, and without this story. Figures are annual expected returns (arithmetic means). They are not a forecast or a promise.

Sources