September 28, 2026 · the industrial sector
the delay to the 737 Max 10's certification
US regulators have put off approving Boeing's largest 737 Max, the Max 10, until they have looked into a new software fault. The Max 10 is about a third of Boeing's orders, so a delay holds back deliveries and cash, which weighs on Boeing more than on other industrial companies.
What we changedWe lowered our expected return for The Boeing against the rest of the industrial sector.
September 28, 2026 · the consumer staples sector
US-China tariff cuts on farm goods
The US and China extended their trade truce into January and named the goods on which each will cut tariffs. China's list is mostly US farm products such as beef, chicken, wheat and corn, which favours grain traders ADM and Bunge and meat producer Tyson over other consumer staples companies.
What we changedWe raised our expected return for Archer-Daniels-Midland, Bunge Global SA and Tyson Foods against the rest of the consumer staples sector.
September 28, 2026 · the consumer discretionary sector
US tariff cuts on Chinese toys
The US and China named the goods on which each will cut tariffs, and toys and games made in China are among the largest on the US list. Hasbro makes many of its toys in China, so lower tariffs cut its costs more than those of other consumer companies.
What we changedWe raised our expected return for Hasbro against the rest of the consumer discretionary sector.
September 23, 2026 · the real estate sector
Treasury yields at their highest since 2007
With Treasury yields at their highest since 2007, landlords whose long, fixed-rent leases behave like bonds, such as Realty Income, lose ground to landlords whose rents reset more quickly, such as Prologis.
What we changedWe raised our expected return for Prologis, and lowered it for Realty Income.
September 23, 2026 · large Korean companies
US tariffs on Chinese solar products
The US will put new tariffs and price floors on imported polysilicon and solar panels from December, aimed mainly at Chinese supply, and has moved to stop importers stockpiling ahead of them. Hanwha Solutions and OCI Holdings make solar products inside the US, so the protection favours them over other Korean companies.
What we changedWe raised our expected return for Hanwha Solutions and OCI Holdings against the rest of large Korean companies.
September 23, 2026 · the financial sector
rising private-credit risk
JPMorgan's chief warned that losses in private credit will be worse than expected, and the bank has cut back its lending to private-credit funds. Asset managers with large private-credit businesses bear that risk more directly than the big banks.
What we changedWe raised our expected return for JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America and Wells Fargo, and lowered it for Apollo Global Management, Ares Management, KKR and Blackstone.
September 23, 2026 · the consumer discretionary sector
Treasury yields at their highest since 2007
The Fed raised rates for the first time since 2023 and signalled more, and Treasury yields reached their highest since 2007. Higher mortgage rates make homes harder to afford, which weighs on homebuilders more than on other consumer companies.
What we changedWe lowered our expected return for D.R. Horton, Lennar, PulteGroup and NVR against the rest of the consumer discretionary sector.