Search a ticker to simulate a range for the year ahead.
Prologis, Inc.
PLD
Prologis, Inc., one year simulated
Simulating Prologis, Inc.…
Search a ticker to simulate a range for the year ahead.
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Last close$133.27
The chance of a loss over the year is 42%.
Point at the curve for the odds at any return.
Where the 2,000 simulated years finished, as percent from the price today.
The middle of the band is our expected return for this asset over the next year. We start from what investors as a whole can expect to earn and share it out across asset classes, sectors and companies, in proportion to how much risk each carries and how they move together. Where we have specific information — analysts raising or cutting their earnings forecasts, for example — we move a company’s expected return up or down, and say why beneath the chart. The middle line is the typical outcome rather than the average, so the more volatile the asset, the further below its expected return it can sit.
Each path is one possible year, drawn many times over. It starts at today’s price and drifts toward the expected return above, while its day-to-day swings are as large as this asset’s own swings over the past few years — its historical volatility. Repeating that thousands of times gives thousands of different years. The band is the range most of them passed through, and the bell curve is how they were spread out at year end.
With Treasury yields at their highest since 2007, landlords whose long, fixed-rent leases behave like bonds, such as Realty Income, lose ground to landlords whose rents reset more quickly, such as Prologis. This factor raised our expected return for Prologis.
As of September 23, 2026
Analysts raised their forecast for Prologis's earnings next year by 3% over the past three months, above the average for the real estate sector (about unchanged). The 4 analysts who cover it differ somewhat, so we weighed this signal moderately. This factor raised our expected return for Prologis.
As of September 26, 2026
Earnings forecasts across the real estate sector were about unchanged on average, but they moved for individual companies, and through those that move with Prologis this factor raised its expected return.
As of September 26, 2026