News that moved our outlook

October 2, 2026 · the consumer discretionary sector

Nike's guidance for a second year of falling sales

Nike expects its sales to fall again this year and its profit to come in well below what analysts expected, with sales in China dropping sharply. It is cutting costs and jobs to turn the business around, but that will take years, which weighs on Nike more than on other consumer companies.

What changed

We lowered our expected return for NIKE against the rest of the consumer discretionary sector.

SymbolWithout itWith itChange
NIKENKE7.08%5.73%−1.36pp

Each stock as it stands now, and without this story. Figures are annual expected returns (arithmetic means). They are not a forecast or a promise.

Sources