News that moved our outlook

September 30, 2026 · the industrial sector

the Navy's F/A-XX fighter award

The US Navy chose Boeing over Northrop Grumman to build its next carrier fighter, after the Air Force picked Boeing for its own new fighter last year. Boeing now holds both of America's next-generation fighter programmes, while Northrop loses a large source of future work, which favours Boeing over Northrop.

What changed

We raised our expected return for The Boeing, and lowered it for Northrop Grumman.

SymbolWithout itWith itChange
The BoeingBA7.37%8.16%+0.79pp
Northrop GrummanNOC5.84%5.49%−0.36pp

Each stock as it stands now, and without this story. Figures are annual expected returns (arithmetic means). They are not a forecast or a promise.

Sources